This week the big news was that Republican candidate Mitt Romney had finally taken the lead from Pres. Obama in the general election. Mitt Romney has been enjoying a comfortable rise from his great debate with Pres. Obama. Just recently Pew Research came out with a new general election poll which gave Romney a huge bump with a 4 point lead over the president.
There is also good news coming out of key battleground states just twenty-seven days before the election.
In Pennsylvania, local polling done by Susquehanna Polling and Research the past month has Mitt Romney trailing Pres. Obama by just two points. Rasmussen had a one month gap in which they did not poll Pennsylvania, but after surveying likely voters after the debate, Romney earned a 7 point jump in their results, only trailing the president by 5 points (51-46). The biggest jump for Romney though came after the debate when Susquehanna found that Romney got a 6 point jump in his favorability. So now, Mitt Romney officially is more favored in Pennsylvania than Pres. Obama is. And more recently, Real Clear Politics changed the status of Pennsylvania from ‘Leaning Obama’ to ‘Toss Up’, putting the Keystone state in play for Republicans for the first time in over a decade.
Two other battleground states have also been taken out of the ‘Leaning Obama’ category recently and have joined other states as ‘Toss Up’s. Those two states are Wisconsin and New Hampshire. In Wisconsin, the home state of VP candidate Paul Ryan, recent polling by Rasmussen and Public Policy Polling have both found Romney following by 2 points (51-49). Wisconsin has not been viewed as a winnable state for Republicans in the general election, but this recent shift shows that the state could possibly go for Mitt.
The race in New Hampshire has been fluctuating the past couple of months. Rasmussen’s recent presidential poll done on October 9th in the state has found that the two candidates are tied at 48 – 48. New Hampshire only has four electoral votes, but if this a close race than those 4 electoral votes can make the difference between winning or losing.
Here are all of the states listed as ‘Toss Up’s for the general election with their Electoral votes -
- Colorado (9)
- Florida (29)
- Iowa (6)
- Missouri (10)
- New Hampshire (4)
- Nevada (6)
- North Carolina (15)
- Ohio (18)
- Pennsylvania (20)
- Virginia (13)
- Wisconsin (10)
There is a very strong chance that Mitt Romney will win the majority of these toss-up states, possibly all of them. And if Romney does win all them, that will guarantee a land slide victory, one of the biggest ones since Ronald Reagan ran.
Shawn_the_Writer
