Even though Rick has lost the primary’s in Michigan and Arizona, the hope for his candidacy is far from lost.
In recent polling out of some of the Super Tuesday states, Rick Santorum is so far the leader in a very key state in the general election, among other states. That very key state is Ohio, the state that played a big role in the 2008 presidential election.
Rick holds a lead of 34% to 31% for Romney in the RCP (Real Clear Politics) average. In Tennessee Rick leads with 37% and 23% for Mitt Romney coming out of the RCP average. But his biggest lead by far is in Oklahoma were he has a lead of 20%, leaving the whole pack behind 41% in the RCP average.
Another reason why Ohio is important, is because they have the biggest amount of delegates out of all the states voting on Super Tuesday. To give you a quick view of why these states that Rick’s leading in, here are the list of them with their number of delegates.
- Ohio: 66 Delegates
- Tennessee: 58 Delegates
- Oklahoma: 43 Delegates
That totals 167 delegates. No Rick will not get that full amount because not all of them are winner take all, and he had a signature problem in Ohio. But he still stands to get a good number from those states alone.
The polling doesn’t include other Super Tuesday were Rick will more than likely perform well in. Those states are Alaska, North Dakota and Idaho. All of those states equal 87 delegates.
Looking at the polling, I think that it is possible for Rick to easily grab a hundred or so delegates. Right now there is a 91 delegate gap between Romney and Santorum.
With the states that Romney is leading in, that equals 107 delegates. And currently Newt Gingrich is the one that will probably win Georgia.
If Super Tuesday plays out well for Rick Santorum, then the delegate gap between him and Romney could close by a large margin.
This just further shows how wild of a primary this is, and that this is over yet.
Related articles
- Ohio Is Do or Die for Rick Santorum on Super Tuesday (usnews.com)
- What’s so super about Tuesday? 419 GOP delegates (sfgate.com)
- Super Tuesday not expected to be decisive for GOP (sfgate.com)
- Super PACs aggressively spend ahead of Super Tuesday. Super. (shortformblog.tumblr.com)
Shawn_the_Writer
Your delegate count is off for Santorum. You state that he is 91 points behind Romney. THis is incorrect. Santorum did not collect any delegates in Iowa, Minn, Maine, Nevada, Colorado, Missouri since they are non-binding. He did pick up 15 in Michigan. That is all he has.
By: Mark Erich Joseph Laschinski on March 4, 2012
at 7:54 pm
Then the websites must be lying, because everyone is saying that Rick has 74 delegates. Here is a link – http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html
By: Shawn_the_Writer on March 4, 2012
at 7:56 pm